NIAS Strategic Forecast 09: "The US Elections: Trump, Hillary & India"

Publication Type:

Strategic Forecast


Amit Gupta


NIAS, Bangalore (2016)


Neither candidate is likely to pose major problems for the Indian government since the India-US relationship has moved beyond the idiosyncrasies of a specific administration.  Common interests now shape the relationship and the US has dropped its hyphenation of India with Pakistan and recognizes that Kashmir is not an easily resolvable issue.  A President Trump is likely to be even more unsympathetic to Pakistan on the Kashmir issue given that protestors in Srinagar have started raising ISIS flags, an action that raises the hackles of western intelligence organizations...To sum up, the India-US relationship is unlikely to undergo major downturns since the relationship is better institutionalized and both candidates are seeking to be focused on domestic issues.